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Last SPARC Standing - TOP500 Supercomputers

Editor:- June 24, 2009 - the 33rd edition of the TOP500 list of the world's most powerful supercomputers was updated recently.

Only 1 single machine in the list today uses SPARC processors.

That's a steep decline from 10 years ago - when the TOP500 included 95 SPARC systems.


NextIO Unveils PCIe flash SSD

Editor:- June 17, 2009 - NextIO today announced it will demonstrate a 12 slot PCIe flash SSD system, designed in collaboration with Marvell later this month.

Each slot will be capable of over 200,000 IOPs and offer 400GB capacity.

Editor's comments:- there are nearly as many companies making PCIe SSDs today - as there are making 2.5" SSDs. And it wouldn't surprise me to see the PCIe SSD oem count to become the larger of the two.

With the growing number of SSD controller and IP companies in the market it's getting easier to design SSDs.


Notebook SSD Market - New Overview

Editor:- June 15, 2009 - StorageSearch.com published a new article today called - Overview of the Notebook SSD Market.

This is a troubled and complex segment of the SSD market - which has earned a deservedly bad reputation.

Nevertheless SSD vendors continue to throw products at the notebook market in many shapes and sizes - hoping that something will stick before their cash runs out. ...read the article


FCoE - New Standard

Editor:- June 11, 2009 - FCoE is now a draft standard.

To learn more read the (unreadable) T11 document (pdf).

If, like me, you ever wondered what the difference was between this and the much older FCIP - this 2007 InfoWorld article explains. See also:- iSCSI, SAN


QLogic Ships 40Gbps InfiniBand Switches

Editor:- June 8, 2009 - QLogic today announced general availability of its 12000 Series 40Gb/sec QDR InfiniBand switches.

"With 864 ports and bandwidth of 51 terabits per second, the QLogic 12000 series is the highest capacity general purpose QDR InfiniBand switch on the market today," said David Vellante, co-founder of Wikibon.org. See also:- SAN switches, InfiniBand

Sun Executive Severance Calculations and Merger Background
Editor:- June 4, 2009 - Scott McNealy would be eligible to get about $9.5 million if he were to be terminated in August.

The hypothetical calculations for Jonathan Schwartz, John Fowler and other Sun executives are detailed in an SEC document which also includes a blow by blow narrative of the lead up to Sun's recent acquisition by Oracle.

Recession is Hurting Server Market - but SSDs will Hurt More

Editor:- April 28, 2009 - IDC reported today factory revenue in the worldwide server market declined 25% year over year to $9.9 billion in the 1st quarter of 2009.

This is the 3rd consecutive quarter of year-over-year revenue decline and the lowest quarterly server revenue since IDC began tracking the server market on a quarterly basis 12 years ago.

Unix servers experienced 17.5% revenue decline year over year when compared with 1Q08.

Linux server revenue comprised 13.8% of server revenue in 1Q09, declining 24.8% year-over-year to $1.4 billion, its lowest revenue level in 5 years.

Editor's comments:- even when the recession ends those past revenue shipments aren't going to bounce back.

When the recovery starts the SSD acceleration market will be in full force. That means users will be able to run their apps using 70% fewer servers. That's something which was originally predicted in my long range SSD market penetration model in 2003.

In the original article I explained that server oems were scared of the effect that SSDs would have on their sales - and this fear was one of the reasons they held back on user education about this technology. I also forecasted - that once any single top tier server company announced SSD support - the others would be forced to pile in too. But it was a game of dare to see how long they could wait until users forced the issue.

Sun Responds to User Needs for More SSD Capacity

Editor:- May 27, 2009 - Sun Microsystems announced today it has improved its hybrid rackmount storage systems to support an additional 600GB of flash SSD cache (compared to the current 64GB internal limit) for enhanced application performance.

The Sun Storage 7310 is available today and starts at a price of $40,165.

Editor's comments:- terabyte SSDs become commercially available in 2002 - so Sun's initial product offering last November - which supported a mere 36GB per 4U rack - was a sure sign that the company either didn't know what it was doing - or was being overly cautious.

There are plenty of rackmount SSD vendors in the market - and soon there will be hundreds more. There's wide diversity in product architectures (open versus proprietary) and applications experience in this part of the SSD market (ranging from months in the case of Sun - to more than a decade for companies like Solid Data Systems and Texas Memory Systems).

If you are thinking of buying an SSD from Sun - timing the purchase is a something to think about. In recent years Sun used to steeply discount towards the end of its quarter. I'm not sure how being part of Oracle will affect that. See also:- Hybrid Storage Drives

Sun's Future Lies in Oracle...................................
Editor:- April 20, 2009 - Oracle today announced an agreement to acquire Sun Microsystems for approximately $7.4 billion.

Editor's comments:- this ends nearly a decade of speculation about the future of Sun Microsystems, a company which created a unique server business peaking at over $20 billion annual revenue at the turn of the Millenium.

You can read how Sun created that market, then lost it piece by piece and then finally lost itself in the storage market in the article which tracks the 22 History of SPARC systems market.

It's fitting that Oracle writes the end of this story.

In the earliest days of the Sun market, portable relational databases were a great selling tool for Sun VARs a to open the doors for the unknown Sun.

Typically they'd get the customer to run a dbase benchmark on their VAX and then run the same thing on a Sun. In the late 1980s Sun hardware came in at less than 1/2 the price and more than 2x the performance. And that was before the SPARC market heated up with a series of ever faster, and then unbeatable, products in the early to mid 1990s.

...Later:- April 22, 2009 - Although I've read a lot of "analyst" blogs - I haven't seen any analysis about this significant deal that's worthy of a link. So here's what I think.

The 2 most important emerging trends in the computer market which I've been discussing for many years elsewhere are:- The new content enabled industries of the future mean that vast data sets, which were once the preserve of telcos or governments - will become much more commonplace than in the past.

Although Google manages huge amounts of data using Linux, and internally developed applications, most enterprises can't do that. Because unlike Google they don't have a monopolist's business advantages, and unlike Google, they can't easily recruit PhDs to write most of their software.

Instead enterprises will turn to platforms which already have a reputation for managing large data sets reliably - as the starting point for their new projects.

SSD accelerated, Solaris hosted Oracle makes good sense for that kind of business plan.

If readers have views on this Oracle / Sun thing that they'd like to share. Drop me a line, saying who you are and what you think.
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Flashbacks from SPARC History
1 year ago - July 2008 - Sun and Fujitsu Unveil SPARC64 VII Servers
Delivering 2GHz performance 7 years later than customers needed was symptomatic of Sun's failure to satisfy expectations.

In a technology roadmap in 1996 the fast growing Sun had promised that SPARC CPUs would remain at least twice as fast as those made by Intel or AMD. Instead they were slower.

2 years ago - July 2007 - Sun's Results Show Failure to Leverage Storage

Sun revealed that its storage revenue was down 10% compared to the year ago period. That was at a time when many of the other top 10 storage companies were reporting over 20% revenue growth.

It was clear to storage analysts like me that Sun had failed to leverage any worthwhile benefit from its expensive acquisition of StorageTek 2 years earlier. Users were regarding Sun mainly as a tied storage supplier, instead of an open supplier of storage to non-Sun servers. So the company had to make its server business work better to survive. Storage was not going to be its get out of jail free card.

3 years ago - July 2006 - Running SPARC / Solaris Apps on Intel Hardware

Transitive said it would soon launch an emulation package to run SPARC / Solaris applications on Intel / Linux servers.

Not only would this provide usable performance - but in some cases the SPARC apps would run faster on Intel servers than on the original SPARC machines on which they had been deployed.

This made it much easier for SPARC users to test the benefits of migrating away from Solaris.

8 years ago - July 2001 - Sun's Q4 Revenue Declined 20%

Although the dotcom crash had already hit the Intel server market 3 quarters earlier - Sun had continued reporting revenue growth.

It seemed at one time that the company was invulnerable. The 1st shock was in April 2000 - when Sun reported that its revenue growth was flat. But this (in July 2000) was the 1st time in Sun's history it had reported negative revenue growth.

Later we were to hear reports of channel stuffing. Sun had delayed its own bad news by allegedly shipping stock to VARs who didn't realize that Sun's meteoric rise was to permanently end.

To save costs Sun shut down its plants and offices during the 1st week in July 2001.

In the absence of Sun news - I published a daily spoof blog - Diary of a Workaholic Sun Partners Program Manager.

9 years ago - July 2000 - Sun reports $5 Billion quarter

This was Sun's finest hour. Revenue was 33% up year on year.

By a strange twist of fate - in the same month - we ran 2 other news headlines which, now in retrospect, warned that all of this would end soon.

Red Hat Leads Global Linux Use in New Surveys

IBM, Intel, Microsoft Eclipse Sun and Oracle with World's Fastest Commercial Server Cluster

And in the next quarter - Intel issued a warning that a recession was about to hit the PC and server market.

SPARC Market Outlook in 2009?

What are the main trends likely to influence the SPARC market in 2009?
Having failed long ago on the desktop and still being insignificant in the overall notebook market (despite the availability of technically impressive products) SPARC - unlike Intel architecture - is best viewed solely as a server processor architecture.

The market prospects for all servers in 2009 / 2010 (not just SPARC) will be driven by the following considerations.

Factors which will tend decrease server unit shipments.
  • the Credit Crunch:- for most enterprises uncertainty about their future survival, that of their customers and lack of funding - will mean that spending on new servers will be done only as a last resort when all other options have been exhausted.
  • Virtualization:- time sharing applications capacity into a common pool of less servers is already a well established trend in the market. This will continue to a more rigorous degree.
  • Fatter Multi-Core Processors:- this trend has already impacted server sales in previous years. As the number of cores heads into double digits it satisfies many customer needs by reducing the physical and energy footprint of server installations - as well as reducing cost.
  • SSD Server Acceleration:- SSD acceleration enables users to get more applications IOPS and lower response times using less servers than systems which use only hard disk storage. In the past this relied on expert installation to get the best results. As this function gets managed better by automated software - SSD solutions will get more widely adopted in the user base.
Factors which will tend increase server unit shipments.

The killer app for creating increased demands for servers is Internet TV.

Many mainstream broadcasters already make some of their content available for viewing online. As business models evolve - this single application has the potential to push ISP and telco server infrastructure to a new level - just as the original dial-up internet did over a decade ago.

And one of the effects of the Credit Crunch will be to accelerate user uptake fo these services - because in bad times - consumers spend a disproprtionate amount of their disposable income on things that make them feel better.

Was there ever a "Golden Age" for SPARC systems?

In an article soon, I'll explore that idea from various angles.
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